Wed, Dec 07, 2022 3:27 PM

According to ING, it is unlikely that China’s strict Covid-19 restrictions will be lifted.
China announced today that it is relaxing its pandemic-related measures. This means that those who work in high risk jobs, such as in child care, nursing homes, or primary schools, will need to show proof of a negative screening before they can return to their job.
Other institutions can also define their own Covid-19 guidelines. Patients with milder symptoms can self-quarantine at their home, rather than being isolated in isolation facilities.
Iris Pang (ING’s chief economist) stated that the bank is not optimistic about the country’s future growth prospects after the “zero Covid” situation, which has wiped out all economic activity.
She wrote that “the transition from quarantine at an isolation facility to home-quarantine will not significantly increase retail sale.”
Pang said that fewer Covid-19 test will help reduce the fiscal deficit facing the government.
It wouldn’t be the first time the country would fulfill its pledges of “reopening”
Pang stated that “Consumption should rebound in 2023″, but that wage growth in manufacturing may slow, given the risk for recession in the US or Europe in the first quarter of next year.”
“In short, economic growth in December and January will not be overly impressive, although we do expect a quarterly improvement in GDP from -0.4 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of this year to 3.4 percent year-on-year. “In the first quarter of 2023.
Today’s new figures reveal that Beijing’s strict compliance to Covid-19 preventive measures has hindered the Chinese economy.
The world’s second largest economy saw its exports fall 8.7 percent in November. This was a deeper drop than analysts expected and dwarfs the 0.3% decline in October.
China’s major commercial centers, factories and factories had to abruptly stop operating because Chinese lawmakers had instituted sudden shutdowns in an effort to control the virus outbreak.
This has resulted in a decrease in the volume of goods, and put pressure on exports. Hyperinflation impacted Western consumers’ real incomes, which led to lower demand and a decrease in exports.
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